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USATSI

The Miami Heat (43-37) still have something to play for as they head into their meeting with the Washington Wizards (34-46) on Friday night. Miami is one game back of Brooklyn for the final automatic playoff spot in the Eastern Conference with two games remaining. Washington is on a four-game losing streak and has been eliminated from 2023 NBA playoff contention. 

Tipoff is set for 7 p.m. ET from Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. Miami is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Wizards vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 217. Before entering any Heat vs. Wizards picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters the final week of the 2022-23 NBA regular season a stunning 71-36 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Wizards vs. Heat. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Heat vs. Wizards:

  • Wizards vs. Heat spread: Wizards +3.5
  • Wizards vs. Heat money line: Wizards: +158, Heat: -190
  • Wizards vs. Heat over/under: 217 points
  • Wizards vs. Heat picks: See picks here

Why the Wizards can cover

While Miami is technically still alive for the No. 6 seed in the Eastern Conference, Brooklyn can clinch that spot with a win as an 11-point favorite against Orlando on Friday night. The Heat are opting to rest Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo and Kyle Lowry, showing what their mentality might be as far as the standings go. Washington stunned Boston as an 11.5-point underdog last Tuesday, crushing the Celtics in a 130-111 final. 

Center Daniel Gafford led Washington with 25 points and 10 rebounds against Atlanta on Wednesday, shooting 8 of 10 from the floor. Rookie shooting guard Johnny Davis added 20 points, seven rebounds and three assists, while shooting guard Kendrick Nunn had 15 points off the bench. The Heat have only covered the spread three times in their last 11 road games and have the league's last-ranked scoring offense. 

Why the Heat can cover

Washington has lost four straight games by seven-plus points and is coming off back-to-back double-digit losses to Milwaukee and Atlanta. The Wizards allowed a combined 274 points in those setbacks, leaving them without any momentum heading into the final two games of a disappointing season. They are playing without leading scorers Bradley Beal, Kyle Kuzma and Kristaps Porzingis. 

Miami has been outstanding in April, winning three straight games over Dallas, Detroit and Philadelphia. The Heat were 2-point underdogs in their 129-101 win against the 76ers on Thursday, as the bench contributed 48 points. The Heat have covered the spread at a 10-4-1 clip in their last 15 road games at Washington and should have more motivation than the Wizards. 

How to make Wizards vs. Heat picks

The model has simulated Heat vs. Wizards 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 70% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Wizards vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the Heat vs. Wizards spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.